Sunday, September 29, 2013

Waiting for the Inevitable

According to the pigskin pundits and bobbleheads, this is the week the Patriots will finally be exposed as the pigskin pretenders they are. Truth be told, they seem annoyed by the Patriots 3-0-0 record. Have they grown weary of waiting for Brady’s skills to diminish? For Belichick to retire? For the Patriots to finally yield to the inevitabilities of the NFL’s relentless commitment to parity? I’m not sure it takes a lot of line to plumb the depths of Tom Jackson’s or Sterling Sharpe’s minds but I really, does anyone know what those guys are thinking?


Not that I was counting on Amendola or Gronk suiting up Sunday night (okay, just a little bit for Gronk) but both will be inactive. Despite his optimism, I didn’t think Amendola would be making the trip to Atlanta. Something about the words “muscle ripped from the bone” had me doubting he’d be back this soon. As for Gronk and his posse, I’m more than happy with taking a conservative approach to his return but if Gronkowski has been practicing in full pads with contact, what else is going on?

I’m starting to wonder why he didn’t start on the PUP list and free up a roster spot for Daniel Fells or Jake Ballard.

But what do I know?

(Channeling my inner Belichick here.)

Could Rob Gronkowski have played this Sunday if it was a playoff game?


How close to being ready to play is Gronkowski?

He’s day to day.

Will he play next Sunday in Cincinnati?

He’ll play when he’s ready.

What about reports that indicate there’s a disagreement between the Patriots’ training staff and Rob Gronkowski about his playing status?

Like any other player dealing with an injury, he’ll play when he’s ready.

Is there a disagreement regarding Gronkowski’s playing status?

He’ll play when he’s ready.

After listening to Adam Schefter on ESPN Sunday morning, this “story” seems more supposition than information, but no matter what Gronk’s dad did or didn’t tell Adam Schefter, we won’t get anything from Belichick on Gronkowski’s status or the internal politics of the Patriots.

As for the game, this one looks like a tale of two defenses.

Is the Patriots’ defense for real?
We should get a good read on that against Atlanta’s high-powered offense. Of particular interest to the chattering class will be the Julio Jones-Aqib Talib match up. Belichick famously argued against protégé Thomas Dimitroff trading up for Jones, maintaining that Jonathan Baldwin was just as good and could be had without sacrificing so many draft chips. Given Belichick’s history drafting wide receivers it could have been that Dimitroff was only calling to get Belichick’s advice so he could do the opposite of whatever he told him.

Good call.

Jones has turned into one of the best wide receivers in the league while Baldwin is already on his second team.

Jones has little to prove and doesn’t seem like the kind of player that needs any extra motivation in any case. Talib on the other hand is playing for a big money contract. Still, I think it’ll be more about the challenge than the dollar signs for Talib Sunday night.

The nascent pass rush could do a lot to help Talib out, of course. Chandler Jones, Rob Ninkovich and Tommy Kelly need to pressure and be all up in Matty Ice’s grille if the Patriots are going to win this game. I’ll be looking for Michael Buchanan and the Pats’ NASCAR package, too.

Free agent pick up Stephen Jackson was supposed to spark the Falcons’ running game and take some pressure off Ryan but Jackson’s hurt forcing diminutive 3rd down back Jacquizz Rodgers into a lead role. He’ll be running behind a banged up offensive line dealing with injuries to starting LT Sam Baker among others.

Did I mention they need to get after Matt Ryan?

Is the Falcons’ defense bad enough to make the Patriots’ offense look good?
Atlanta’s offense is elite but their defense? Not so much. Bad news from a “defense wins championships” point of view. Anyway, the hope in New England is that the Brady Bunch takes another step up and breaks out against a defense that has been below league average in giving up yards and points and is the primary reason the Falcons are 1-2-0, tied with the Panthers and looking up at the undefeated Saints in the NFC South.

Of course, the Patriots’ offense has been below league average, too.

The Brady Bunch looked like they just might be getting through puberty in last week’s win over the Buccaneers. If Aaron Dobson and Kenbrell Thompkins can raise their games again this week – and if Josh Boyce and Zach Sudfeld can contribute more than a catch apiece, the passing game might actually look above average. (I think they’re probably a few weeks – and I’m being wildly optimistic here – from anything close to elite.) An above average passing game should be more than enough if New England can shorten the game and keep Ryan on the sidelines with their three-headed ground game. If Stevan Ridley, Brandon Bolden and LeGarrette Blount can roll up 150+ rushing yards the Patriots should be able to improve to 4-0-0.

A fraudulent 4-0-0, of course, but my understanding is that it counts just the same as a legit 4-0-0.

Suck it, Tom Jackson.



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