Saturday, May 2, 2015

We Can Only Guess What Happens Next

It wouldn't be the NFL draft without Bill Belichick doing something that makes Mel Kiper, Jr.'s hair catch on fire. Not literally, of course.

 
After the slam dunk, no doubt, home run, nailed it selection of DT Malcom Brown with the #32 pick, we got two Belichick the GM is killing Belichick the HC moments on Day 2. With pick #64, the Patriots selected SS Jordan Richards from Stanford. They traded the #96 pick to Cleveland for 4th and 5th round picks and with #97 the took DE/OLB/TE Geneo Grissom from Oklahoma.

Richards' draft profile projected him to the 6th/7th round so if we're going with the wisdom of crowds, this was a reach. Obviously, Belichick disagrees and sees an in-the-box tackling machine; a linebacker in safety's clothing. Student of the game with a sub-7 3-Cone Drill? Sounds like a Belichick kind of player.

Grissom was projected to the 5th/6th round but given the upside and position flexibility, he could start out as a core special teamer that provides insurance at multiple positions who may one day develop into a starter. Belichick loves positional flexibility because it's a necessity with a 46-man game day roster

Okay, that's all well and good (In Bill We Trust!) but it's hard to see a guy like Richards taken only to see two big guards – Jeremiah Poutasi and the much mocked to the Pats A.J. Cann – taken just two and three picks later.

This is the point where the good citizens of Patriots Nation forget the wins, the AFC Championships, the Super Bowls and tear at their hair and clothing, shrilly crying out to an indifferent universe, "What is he thinking?"

Is it a massive rationalization to remind ourselves that Belichick found starting Super Bowl center Brian Stork in the 4th round? I don't think so. The Patriots are well set up for today's action with three picks in the 4th including two in the first 12 picks.

A few other thoughts on the Patriots first three picks.

Brown is a potential ten-year starter with a Pro Bowl ceiling. I think we're all good with him, yes? Yes.

It's difficult (if not impossible) to project Richards or Grissom to the starting lineup, let alone a Pro Bowl. Neither addresses a position of need; the best I can do is imagine Grissom as Jerod Mayo insurance. Could it be that Belichick isn't as worried about cornerback or offensive guard as the pigskin pundits and bobbleheads?

The addition of Jabaal Sheard and Malcom Brown and a fully healthy Dominique Easley (two years removed from ACL surgery) should improve the pass rush and allow the deep group of defensive backs the extra fraction of a second that makes all the difference between a completion and a pass defensed.

Dan Connolly is still unsigned; is it just a matter of time before he re-signs with New England? Cameron Fleming has been preparing in the off season for a move inside to guard. It's a projection but a starting five of Nate Solder, Fleming, Stork, Wendell and Sebastian Vollmer sounds pretty good. (The undervalued Ryan Wendell isn't going anywhere; not with starting experience at guard and center). The depth options at guard – Josh Kline and Jordan Devey – are questionable which is why I'd be surprised if Belichick doesn't take an offensive lineman or two today.

Returning to Richards and Grissom for a moment.

Drafting at the bottom of every round limits the opportunities to draft a Shaq Thomson. The Patriots know they have to find undervalued alternatives – undervalued by other teams but good fits with New England's program. Enter Jordan Richards and his 6.74 second 3-Cone Drill time.

The defending Super Bowl champs (no, it never gets hold saying that) don't have many roster spots open. Finding a prospect like Geneo Grissom (and yes, I've already added "Geneo" to my spell-check dictionary) who can play multiple positions is a critical capability when considering how New England will fill those precious few spots available.

And with that, we're on to the 4th round.



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