Thursday, December 27, 2012

Thinking Out Loud


The NFL season is, in and of itself, a small data sample. Just sixteen games over seventeen weeks. A key injury in week three can destroy a team’s chances to make the playoffs; a blown call in the 4th quarter, a pass slips through a receiver’s hands into the waiting arms of a defensive back who takes it in for the winning score, a potential game-winning field goal hits the upright and falls harmlessly to the ground. All of a sudden, 10-6-0 is 7-9-0 and your fans are reenacting Act III of Oedipus Rex. That’s right; a tie is like kissing your sister and finishing out of the playoffs is like having sex with your mother.




Like most seasons in recent memory, the Patriots will not be having sex with their mothers this year. Still, the uninspiring win in Jacksonville has me reaching into my jar of rationalizations for solace. I’m pulling the post-coital depression card for this one. After back to back games against the best the NFL has to offer in the Texans and 49ers, it was only natural the Pats would have an emotional and physical letdown against the least the NFL has to offer in the Jaguars. I can almost talk myself into thinking that the way New England came back from the 13-3 standing eight count to win 23-16 showed the Patriots do have what it takes to go far into the playoffs.

Almost.

Winning when you don’t have your “A” game against the Jaguars is one thing. Winning back-to-back roadies against the Texans and Broncos – a likely playoff scenario – will take a lot more than the Patriots showed last Sunday. Before we bury the Patriots, though, let’s consider the 49ers no show in Seattle. If those two teams meet again in the playoffs with San Francisco hosting, who you got?

It’s easy to make too much of one game. The Patriots blow out the Texans and they’re the best team in football. They lose a heartbreaker to the 49ers and San Fran sits atop the pigskin world until their next game, an embarrassing loss to the Seahawks. New England scuffles but wins in Jacksonville and they’re a troubled team that’s lost its identity. Should they roll the Dolphins this Sunday, winning by 30+, will we start dropping that “Super Bowl favorite” prefix on the Pats again?

Probably not. “Super Bowl contender?” Maybe. Let’s see what goes down this Sunday.

The AFC Championship runs through Denver for now. Will it come down to Brady and Manning again? Ideally, at least from a television ratings perspective, they will meet in the AFC Championship game. I know that’s one of those, “You have to love this if you’re a football fan” kind of match ups but I for one would be more than happy with a Patriots-Ravens rematch. I’d be delighted with a Patriots-49ers Super Bowl.

The Broncos band wagon is sagging under the weight of those many pigskin pundits and bobbleheads with the come hither look for Peyton Manning, gentleman pigskin hero. How much would a Peyton Manning porno tape go for? Millions, am I right? That’s how “future Senator from the great state of whatever state Peyton chooses” Manning is. And now he’s back, with a new team, from the multiple neck surgeries that cost him a season in his prime and Manning is just ballin’ like he never changed backup bands after a year in rehab. Why wouldn’t everyone – outside the other playoff cities, of course – be rooting for a story like Manning’s to have a happy ending? And speaking of everybody, since it looks like New York will be out of the playoffs in both brackets, you can expect the national media headquartered there to adopt the huge forehead of Peyton Manning as its new favorite body part.

Not Quite the Greatest Story Ever Told…
I just can’t quit the Jets. I can’t look away. Tebow as scapegoat? How biblical. Tebow was accused of quitting on his team when the story surfaced that Tebow asked out of the Wildcat. Several equally confusing/short on direct quotes stories followed. Maybe Tebow said he didn’t only want to run the Wildcat; he wanted to play quarterback full time. Maybe Rex knew he’d only use Tebow in the Wildcat so he got Jeremy Kerley ready. We may never know what was said between Ryan and Tebow but if there was any doubt as to where Tim Tebow will not be playing next year, we learned everything we need to know when Ryan refused to straight up corroborate Tebow’s version of things.

The possible futures for the Jets are pretty bleak and that’s saying something after 2012.

Let’s say Tebow goes to Jacksonville next year and goes to Tom House’s throwing camp and throws well enough deep to his wide receivers to keep defenses honest, Maurice Jones-Drew has a resurgent year running the read option with Timmy and the Jaguars get to the playoffs while Mark Sanchez and Rex Ryan explore the meaning of insanity for the Jets as they challenge the Buffalo Bills for 4th place in the AFC East.

Or…

Let’s the Jets trade Tebow to Jacksonville for Blaine Gabbert! They name Gabbert the starter! Rich Kotite begins trending on twitter!

Or…

Let’s say they let Sanchez go and eat the salary cap hit and wind up with some kind of mash up of Greg McElroy (between concussions) and a rookie – would they go for USC’s Matt Barkley after their experience with fellow USC grad Sanchez? Anyway, let’s say Sanchez goes to Arizona for a 7th round draft pick. He narrowly beats out some combo platter of Kevin Kolb/John Skelton/Ryan Lindley/Bryan Hoyer. He leads the Cardinals to a 13-3-0 record and…

Okay, that wouldn’t happen.


Heres Muse, apropos of nothing other than being totally awesome!


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