As Paul Simon once
sang, “When something goes right, well it’s likely to lose me. It’s apt to
confuse me. It’s such an unusual sight.” It’s also statistically unlikely but
what if everything does go right for the Patriots in 2014?
We got news that Rob
Gronkowski’s recovery is on schedule this week. Given Gronk’s history, it’s
hard to be more than cautiously optimistic. The glass is half full, maybe even
51% full but probably not much more than that. I’m not counting on Gronk as a
Week 1 starter and I wouldn’t be surprised if he spends a little time on the
PUP list but I’m also not forgetting how good Gronk looked during his brief
stint on the playing field in 2013. Even with a brace on his right knee I
believe he will still be a dominant force whenever he returns to action.
Then there was Gil
Brandt on NFL.com putting Aaron Dobson on his second-year leap list. The 75
catch/1,000 yard prediction from Brandt seems wildly optimistic in the context
of Dobson’s foot surgery which will keep him from full participation in the off
season program. I’ve been thinking Dobson might also start the season on the
PUP list and penciling in 50 catches. Gil Brandt knows more about football than
I do, right?
Today, Mike Reiss on ESPN Boston got me to
thinking that maybe Duron
Harmon could be at least a poor man’s Rodney Harrison. In his rookie
season, Harmon hardly embarrassed himself while backing up Steve Gregory in
2013. Might he also make the leap in 2014?
How about some other wishful thinking for 2014?
Stevan Ridley puts his
fumbling problems behind him and returns to 1,200-yard form.
There’s plenty of precedent for Ridley improving
ball security (Tiki Barber and Kevin Faulk immediately come to mind). He’ll be
playing for his next contract so we should expect the best from Ridley in 2014.
1,400 yards and 12 touchdowns are not out of the question should he start all
16 games.
Shane Vereen leads all
running backs in receiving yards and receiving touchdowns.
Vereen will also be playing for a contract in the
upcoming season. The only thing that could slow him down would be getting
bitten by the injury bug again in 2014. If he stays healthy, Vereen could be
the best 3rd down back New England has ever had. Yeah, I know that’s
a bold statement but we’re in best case scenario mode here, okay?
Danny Amendola starts 14+
games with 70+ catches.
It’s easy to forget that Amendola played a full 16
game season earlier in his career given more recent events. I’m still sticking
with my thought that the chemistry issues with Tom Brady are wildly overblown.
Amendola is still bigger, faster and younger than Wes Welker. It’s been a full
year. Can we all just stop looking at Amendola like he’s “the other woman” and move
on?
Julian Edelman proves 2013
was no fluke.
If Dobson and Amendola get more receptions in 2014
it makes sense that Jules’ numbers will suffer in 2014 but there will
undoubtedly be stretches in games – perhaps entire games – where Brady will
lock onto Edelman and with good reason. Edelman has earned Brady’s full and
unwavering trust. Edelman’s experience returning punts makes him a threat to
score once he has the ball in the open field. Throw him the ball!
Michael Buchanan
establishes himself as the Patriots sub-package DE and picks up 6+ sacks.
Optimistic? Optimistic. After all, New England had
to bring back Belichick binky Andre Carter to back up Chandler Jones and Rob
Ninkovich when Buchanan proved his brain had yet to catch up with his rather impressive
physical gifts. If he can play with a little more discipline Buchanan could
become a force in sub packages and provide some relief for Jones and Ninkovich
who can’t be expected to play 90% of the snaps on defense again in 2014.
Josh Boyce finishes Top 5
in kick-off returns.
If the best case scenarios for Dobson, Amendola,
Edelman and Gronk play out, it will be hard for Boyce to get many snaps on
offense but he goes into the off-season program as the Patriots’ best option to
return kicks in 2014. Granted, the kick-off return isn’t what it used to be but
it is still a big play waiting to happen (Boyce has the speed to score from his
own end zone) and can be a critical element in establishing field position. As
a Top 5 kick-off return specialist, Boyce could be critical to New England’s
success in 2014.
Jerod Mayo is Jerod Mayo again.
Mayo is a glue guy. Haters complain that he isn’t a playmaker but he is a tackling machine. Any you know what a tackle means? It means that guy didn't score. Mayo is still a three-down linebacker and having him back on the field can only help Dont’a Hightower and Jamie Collins be all that they can be in 2014.
Vince Wilfork comes back
big from his Achilles injury.
It’s not easy to come back from an Achilles
injury, especially when you’re putting 350 pounds of pressure on that surgically
repaired tendon. It’s probably too much to expect the 2012 Vince Wilfork, even
in a best case scenario but if this is about heart and soul, it’s hard to doubt
Vince Wilfork. I would expect to see Sealver Siliga spell Big Vince on 3rd
downs to manage his snaps and keep him fresh against the run on 1st
and 2nd down. With Darrelle Revis and Brandon Browner in the
secondary, teams are sure to try to run against the Patriots defense, making a
comeback year by Wilfork a key for 2014. Speaking of Revis and Browner…
By mid-November, Darrelle
Revis and Brandon Browner are being called the best starting tandem at
cornerback.
Okay, I’m not exactly going out on a limb with
this one. Revis is a given. He was the top cornerback in the league in his
first year back from an ACL injury. He’s essentially in a contract year and
could well put together the best season of his career in 2014. Browner is more
of a wild card, given his four-game suspension to start the season. With Revis
on the other side of the field, Browner could have a chance to lead the league
in interceptions – in twelve games – because opposing quarterbacks are sure to
throw wherever Revis isn’t. Revis and Browner also push Alfonzo Dennard and
Logan Ryan into sub packages along with last year’s nickel CB Kyle Arrington.
When facing the pass-wackiest offenses in the league (I’m looking at you,
Denver), the Patriots can put five quality cornerbacks on the field. Daddy
like!
Okay, that’s a lot to go right. A potential Comeback
of the Year award for Rob Gronkowski doesn’t mean the Patriots can ignore the
tight end position in the draft. New England needs depth at safety, linebacker
and the defensive line and could stand to use some help on the offensive line. The
good news is that there’s plenty of all of that in this year’s draft because, you know, it's the deepest draft in 10 years.
That's what I heard.
Where is this year’s Super Bowl?
Everyone who’s been talking about this as the best thing ever is pretty close to right.
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