The Road to Glendale

Bill Belichick may not want to talk about it but I do; the road to Glendale goes through Foxborough!

How We Got Here…

Thanks to the Denver Broncos apparent lack of interest in having the Seahawks kick their asses on international television second year in a row, the Patriots Week 17 matchup with the Buffalo Bills has been rendered moot. The Broncos lost not only their Monday night game against the primetime-phobic Cincinnati Bengals, they ceded the #1 seed to the Pats and other than the 3^rd quarter flurry, looked unambiguously unimpressive in the process. Peyton Manning’s four interceptions had pigskin pundits and bobbleheads revisiting Manning’s multiple neck surgeries, his 38 years on this planet and puzzling over the mental errors committed by one of the game’s most cerebral quarterbacks.

It seems to me Manning has been given a far more reverential eulogy following the Queen City Catastrophe than the dismissive notices handed Tom Brady after the Monday Night Massacre in Kansas City. As a Pats fan I get that I’m probably just a bit too sensitive to the worshipful tone of pigskin pundits and bobbleheads as they discuss Peyton Manning and his awesomely awesome awesomeness. Critiques of Brady when the Patriots were 2-2-0 were as clinical and decisive as an autopsy. Brady was done. Belichick should try to hornswoggle some rube GM into forking over a 1^st round pick for Brady’s corpse and hand the ball to Jimmy Garoppolo. Pigskin pundits and bobbleheads seem confused and nostalgic in their reactions to Manning’s descent into mediocrity over the second half of the season, a fall that reached terminal velocity with his four interceptions Monday night. Brady was done. Manning’s performance is worrisome.

It’s just one game but it was startling seeing Manning look so very much like Jay Cutler.

For weeks, the talk has been all about New England’s need to secure home field for the playoffs, to avoid a repeat of 2013 and an conference championship game in Denver. The consensus opinion seemed to be that whoever secured the #1 seed in the AFC – be it the Broncos or the Patriots – would have the inside track to Glendale and Super Bowl XLIX.

After last Monday night’s game, it’s hard to imagine a healthy New England roster (I’m looking at you, Rob Gronkowski) would’ve had any problem winning in Denver.

Yes, I’m glad we won’t need to find out.

Week 17 Decisions…

To play or not to play, that is the internet meme. Sure, this game has no implications as far as the playoffs go but it isn’t completely meaningless. Tickets have been sold. And re-gifted to the brother-in-law. This is professional football, after all. Player incentives in six and seven figures based on performance and playing time metrics hang in the balance.

More importantly, we cannot put the entire roster in bubble wrap with a “Do Not Open Till The Divisional Round” tag. Forty-six players will dress for this Sunday’s game. It’s like a rule or something.

Tom Brady will be playing because he’s Tom Brady.  Ideally – from my perspective – Brady doesn’t play at all but that doesn’t seem possible let alone likely. So, taking the impossible out of the equation, let’s say the ideal scenario has New England starting fast on offense and Brady taking a seat following the first series in the 3^rd quarter. Brady and Vince Wilfork can share Jimmy Garoppolo jokes, do their Rob Gronkowski impressions for each other, discuss long-term investment strategies.

Darrelle Revis will play. He and Brady are cut from the same cloth.

Rob Gronkowski will start because he promised he would play all 16 games this season and Belichick will make sure he gets to keep that promise. I hold my breath every time Gronkowski is smashing and dashing through opposing secondaries, nervously checking the edges of the TV screen for T.J. Ward, only allowing myself to exhale when Gronk is walking back to the huddle – or spiking the ball in the end zone. I’m hoping for a lot of Tim Wright this Sunday.

The lame and the halt are numerous; how much of this has to do with Bill Belichick’s perverse attention to detail with his injury reports is open to debate, of course. Still, the extra week of rest that could be afforded to Julian Edelman, Dan Connolly and others would not only help those players get healthy for the playoffs, it would give their backups valuable reps in game action. I don’t think the extra week of downtime is going to hurt Edelman or anyone else listed as questionable.

The Prognosis

Yes, the Steelers are on a roll, the Chargers are flat out insane and Peyton Manning is still Peyton Manning. Mostly. Whatever. If the Patriots play their best football in all three phases they can’t be beaten by any team in the AFC. They still have to do that, of course, but does anyone think it’s a long shot? It’s the opposite of a long shot. Okay, maybe it’s not the exact opposite but it’s at least 165 degrees off of a long shot.

And the Super Bowl?

A Patriots-Seahawks match up would print money. The last team to win back-to-back Lombardi’s trying to stop the team attempting that same feat. Brady and Russell Wilson. Gronk. The enigma that is Marshawn Lynch. Darrelle Revis and Richard Sherman. Wow. Would there even be room for Peter Carroll’s New England years? That could be the most analyzed, most watched, most bet Super Bowl ever.

Do I think the Patriots can beat the Seahawks on a neutral site? Yes, I do. Would I rather see the Patriots face the Packers? Well, it would be nice to see New England avenge the loss in Green Bay as a sweetener to seal the deal but winning a Super Bowl really doesn’t require a free dessert, does it?

Why do I feel like it’s going to be Dallas?

Losing to the Patriots.