On
the one hand, it counts just as much as the Week 8 Bears game. It counts the
same as any other game. Well, out of conference games are pretty low down the
list of games with playoff implications. I suppose there must be some advanced
analytics that could be applied here. Intuitively, I know that division games
are always the most important games on the schedule. Those games carry huge
playoff implications. Aren’t they actually worth more than 1.0 games in the
standings because of tiebreakers? 1.05? 1.1? Can someone with math skills help
me out here?
The
Patriots have games in the standings and the tiebreakers to back that up. Even
if they lose this game with the Packers the Pats will still hold the #1 seed in
the AFC. Still. This is an undeniably big game. These are two of the elite
teams in the NFL. Because they play in different conferences it’s an obligatory
Super Bowl Preview! Cue the human interest stories! Are any of these players
friends with a terminally ill child? How about a feature with Olivia Munn and
Giselle Bundchen?
The
players for both franchises have gone out of their way to praise their
opponents during the lead up to Week 13’s marquee matchup. I think the subtext actually
goes something like “I’m going to make you my bitch on national television,
bitch!” Something like that. Anyway, this is a measuring stick game (and you
know what they’re measuring). The Patriots defensive backs – led by Darrelle
Revis, Brandon Browner and Devin McCourty and I think we have mention Patrick
Chung, too – want to add Aaron Rodgers to the list. The Pats have faced and
beaten Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck. They’ve also beaten Jay Cutler and
Matthew Stafford but I’m not sure I would put them on the same list with
Manning, Luck and Rodgers. Anyway, the point is Manning, Luck and Rodgers are
probably on your list of elite quarterbacks and New England’s defensive
backfield wants to beat them all. Wants to own them. Wants to certify their
badassedness.
You
can bet the Packers defense wants to shut down Tom Brady, too.
Respect.
You
know how they say about certain players, “He’d play even if they didn’t pay
him?” That’s never true of course or as much as it is true it’s true about all
elite athletes. It’s about winning. Poker on the plane. Dominoes. Tiddlywinks.
The big game. The one-on-one matchups. Once they cross the chalk it has nothing
to do with the paycheck, of course. Just men being men, doing the things men
do.
Things
men do wearing shoulder pads and helmets while tossing about an oblate spheroid.
I’m
already worried about injuries. As amped up as I expect both teams to be, you
have to assume several high speed collisions in this one. Hard to avoid helmet
to helmet hits at max velocity. I’m anxious every time Gronk touches the ball,
of course, but this game – well, it’s a Super Bowl preview! The Patriots have a
deep and versatile roster but I’d much rather have a healthy, deep and
versatile roster in January than a win in a non-conference game the last Sunday
in November.
Can
I have both?
This
game looks like 34-31 to me, one way or the other. If it does wind up a blowout
I’d be at least mildly surprised. If it does wind up a blowout I think it’s
more likely the Patriots win. But who knows, really?
Maybe
this is a Super Bowl preview. The odds are probably against it. After this
Sunday there are still four regular season games left and those games are every
bit as unpredictable as the one this Sunday in Green Bay. Then comes the single
elimination tournament known as the playoffs. Lots of variables, lots of
factors, more than a few polynomial equations. But trust me on this one. It
won’t be about arithmetic, stats or advanced analytics this Sunday.
It’ll
be football, just football, great football and maybe the best football we’ve
seen this season because this is one of those games Tom Brady and Aaron
Rodgers, Darrelle Revis and Clay Matthews and every other player on the active
46 lives for, the games that define greatness, even if it’s only for one week.
Super
Bowl preview.
Can’t
hardly wait.
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